NFL Point Spread Picks: Week Six

It’s been a few weeks since I’ve done spread picks, and it’s a good thing too considering how many upsets have been going down since Week 3. Ah Week 3, the Week of the Upset, when nine underdogs won and I went a sparkling 1/5 on my picks. Maybe that’s why I’ve taken so long to do spread picks again…

Hate when that happens.

Miami Dolphins (2-2) @ Atlanta Falcons (3-1) (-12.5) on Sunday @ 1pm — Not only do the Dolphins still have Jay Cutler under center, not only are they missing their most talented wideout in DeVante Parker, not only are they going to the Georgia dome to take on the defending NFC Champs, but they have to deal with all that while coming down off one of the longest, heaviest coke benders in NFL history. I don’t usually like double-digit spreads, but those oddsmakers really left me no choice this week. Julio Jones is back in action for Matt Ryan to air it out and the running back tandem has been of the charts this season. Expect a blowout in the ol’ ATL in Week 6. Atlanta Falcons 34 Miami Dolphins 13

Cleveland Browns (0-5) @ Houston Texans (2-3) (-10.5) on Sunday @ 1pm — They didn’t get quite their ideal start after five games, so the Browns are benching rookie DeShone Kizer for journeyman duster Chris Hogan. I really don’t see this improving the team at all, and another rookie QB, DeShaun Watson has caught fuckin’ fire right as the Browns come to town. Don’t be surprised to see Watson contribute another five touchdowns to a big Houston offensive effort. While the Browns have a top 5 defence in terms of yards, they also give up the seventh most points in the league at the same time. Very Browns of them wouldn’t you say. The Browns—mainly Duke Johnson Jr.—will find some room against a Texans defence that’s missing JJ Watt and Whitney Mercilus, but not nearly enough to keep pace with Watson and his weapons cache. Houston Texans 30 Cleveland Browns 17

Detroit Lions (3-2) (+4.5) @ New Orleans Saints (2-2) on Sunday @ 1pm — I don’t see how the Lions are the underdogs here. They’re 3-2 with those two losses coming on a bullshit call to end the game against the Falcons and a Killa Cam-sponsored comeback last week. The Lions have been a solid football team this season and Matty Stafford and the boys should be shown the respect they’ve earned. Nonetheless, I’ll definitely take the points they’re giving the Motor City. The Lions are on the road against a pretty rested Saints team—which is adding the previously injured/suspended Willie Snead to the weapons’ arsenal—but I can’t see Detroit losing by more than a field goal. Though the Saints could also win what will be a very tight shootout. Expect the outcome to be decided on a last-second kick. Detroit Lions 34 New Orleans Saints 31

New England Patriots (3-2) (-10.0) @ New York Jets (3-2) on Sunday @ 1pm — Who woulda thought, nearly a third of the way through this 2017 season, that Tom Brady‘s Patriots and Josh McCown‘s Jets would have the same record. But here we are, in bizarro 2017. Though it’s been a surprising enough season for the Jets season so far, the road ends here. The Patriots proved last week that they’ve figured out the defensive woes that plagued them so much through the first quarter of the season. The Jets aren’t playing an atrocious team for the first time in about a month, so expect Tommy Boy to give them something of a reality check, especially with Rob The Gronk returning to action this week as well. At least two touchdown connections from those two. New England Patriots 41 New York Jets 19

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2) (-2.0) @ Arizona Cardinals (2-3) on Sunday @ 4pm — Though Tampa took the L last week against the Patriots, they definitely outplayed the defending champs on the night. No doubt the Buccaneers have been preparing all week to make sure that this week against the Cardinals, they take full advantage of all of their opponents fuck-ups. And with the Cardinals you can bet there’ll be a lot of those. Carson Palmer is no longer elite, Adrian Peterson will barely have a grasp of the playbook and I doubt their 27th-ranked defence will have many answers for the Winston-Evans Express. Not to mention Doug Martin didn’t have a spot of rust on em in his return to the lineup last week. With 10 days to prepare for a bottom-tier team like the Cardinals, the Bucs will be ready to rock. Don’t expect there to be a close call in the desert this week. They won’t let it be decided by Nick Folk this time guys. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 33 Arizona Cardinals 20

Record Year to Date

  • 5/10 total
  • 1/5 last week (Week 3)